Saat Defensive Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.33

STDAX Fund  USD 11.26  0.01  0.09%   
Saat Defensive's future price is the expected price of Saat Defensive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saat Defensive Strategy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saat Defensive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Saat Defensive Correlation, Saat Defensive Hype Analysis, Saat Defensive Volatility, Saat Defensive History as well as Saat Defensive Performance.
  
Please specify Saat Defensive's target price for which you would like Saat Defensive odds to be computed.

Saat Defensive Target Price Odds to finish over 11.33

The tendency of Saat Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.33  or more in 90 days
 11.26 90 days 11.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saat Defensive to move over $ 11.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saat Defensive Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Saat Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saat Defensive Strategy price to stay between its current price of $ 11.26  and $ 11.33  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Saat Defensive has a beta of 0.0167. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saat Defensive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saat Defensive Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saat Defensive Strategy has an alpha of 0.0088, implying that it can generate a 0.008826 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saat Defensive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saat Defensive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saat Defensive Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2211.2611.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2111.2511.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2211.2611.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1811.2311.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Saat Defensive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Saat Defensive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Saat Defensive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Saat Defensive Strategy.

Saat Defensive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saat Defensive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saat Defensive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saat Defensive Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saat Defensive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -1.82

Saat Defensive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saat Defensive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saat Defensive Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saat is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Saat Defensive Strategy maintains about 81.23% of its assets in cash

Saat Defensive Technical Analysis

Saat Defensive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saat Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saat Defensive Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saat Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saat Defensive Predictive Forecast Models

Saat Defensive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saat Defensive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saat Defensive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saat Defensive Strategy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saat Defensive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saat Defensive Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saat is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Saat Defensive Strategy maintains about 81.23% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Saat Mutual Fund

Saat Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saat Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saat with respect to the benefits of owning Saat Defensive security.
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