Suro Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.32
| SSSSL Stock | USD 24.65 0.30 1.23% |
SuRo |
SuRo Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 25.32
The tendency of SuRo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.32 or more in 90 days |
| 24.65 | 90 days | 25.32 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SuRo Capital to move over $ 25.32 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SuRo Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of SuRo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SuRo Capital Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 24.65 and $ 25.32 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SuRo Capital has a beta of 0.0646. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SuRo Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SuRo Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SuRo Capital Corp has an alpha of 0.0103, implying that it can generate a 0.0103 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SuRo Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SuRo Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SuRo Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SuRo Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SuRo Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SuRo Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SuRo Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SuRo Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SuRo Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
SuRo Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SuRo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SuRo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SuRo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1509 |
SuRo Capital Technical Analysis
SuRo Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SuRo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SuRo Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SuRo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SuRo Capital Predictive Forecast Models
SuRo Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many SuRo Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SuRo Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SuRo Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SuRo Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SuRo Capital options trading.
Check out SuRo Capital Backtesting, SuRo Capital Valuation, SuRo Capital Correlation, SuRo Capital Hype Analysis, SuRo Capital Volatility, SuRo Capital History as well as SuRo Capital Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SuRo Capital. If investors know SuRo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SuRo Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SuRo Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SuRo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SuRo Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SuRo Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SuRo Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SuRo Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SuRo Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SuRo Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SuRo Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.