Suro Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.45

SSSSL Stock  USD 24.65  0.30  1.23%   
SuRo Capital's future price is the expected price of SuRo Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SuRo Capital Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SuRo Capital Backtesting, SuRo Capital Valuation, SuRo Capital Correlation, SuRo Capital Hype Analysis, SuRo Capital Volatility, SuRo Capital History as well as SuRo Capital Performance.
  
At this time, SuRo Capital's Price Earnings Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 45.52 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 0.34. Please specify SuRo Capital's target price for which you would like SuRo Capital odds to be computed.

SuRo Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 24.45

The tendency of SuRo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.45  or more in 90 days
 24.65 90 days 24.45 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SuRo Capital to drop to $ 24.45  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This SuRo Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of SuRo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SuRo Capital Corp price to stay between $ 24.45  and its current price of $24.65 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SuRo Capital has a beta of 0.0177. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SuRo Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SuRo Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SuRo Capital Corp has an alpha of 0.0055, implying that it can generate a 0.005548 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SuRo Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SuRo Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SuRo Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SuRo Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1824.6525.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9824.4524.92
Details

SuRo Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SuRo Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SuRo Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SuRo Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SuRo Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

SuRo Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SuRo Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SuRo Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SuRo Capital Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: SuRo Capital Corp. 6.00 percent Notes due 2026 Plans Quarterly Dividend of 0.38

SuRo Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SuRo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SuRo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SuRo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Short Prior Month106

SuRo Capital Technical Analysis

SuRo Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SuRo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SuRo Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SuRo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SuRo Capital Predictive Forecast Models

SuRo Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many SuRo Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SuRo Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SuRo Capital Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about SuRo Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SuRo Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SuRo Capital Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: SuRo Capital Corp. 6.00 percent Notes due 2026 Plans Quarterly Dividend of 0.38
When determining whether SuRo Capital Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze SuRo Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SuRo Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SuRo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out SuRo Capital Backtesting, SuRo Capital Valuation, SuRo Capital Correlation, SuRo Capital Hype Analysis, SuRo Capital Volatility, SuRo Capital History as well as SuRo Capital Performance.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SuRo Capital. If investors know SuRo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SuRo Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SuRo Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SuRo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SuRo Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SuRo Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SuRo Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SuRo Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SuRo Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SuRo Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SuRo Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.