SUN ART (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.09

SRI Stock  EUR 0.30  0.16  114.29%   
SUN ART's future price is the expected price of SUN ART instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SUN ART RETAIL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SUN ART Backtesting, SUN ART Valuation, SUN ART Correlation, SUN ART Hype Analysis, SUN ART Volatility, SUN ART History as well as SUN ART Performance.
  
Please specify SUN ART's target price for which you would like SUN ART odds to be computed.

SUN ART Target Price Odds to finish over 4.09

The tendency of SUN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.09  or more in 90 days
 0.30 90 days 4.09 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SUN ART to move over € 4.09  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SUN ART RETAIL probability density function shows the probability of SUN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SUN ART RETAIL price to stay between its current price of € 0.30  and € 4.09  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SUN ART has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SUN ART average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SUN ART RETAIL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover SUN ART RETAIL has an alpha of 1.954, implying that it can generate a 1.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SUN ART Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SUN ART

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUN ART RETAIL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3016.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2716.56
Details

SUN ART Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SUN ART is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SUN ART's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SUN ART RETAIL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SUN ART within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

SUN ART Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SUN ART for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SUN ART RETAIL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SUN ART RETAIL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SUN ART RETAIL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SUN ART RETAIL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

SUN ART Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SUN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SUN ART's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SUN ART's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.5 B
Dividend Yield0.1045
Short Term Investments7.4 B

SUN ART Technical Analysis

SUN ART's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SUN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SUN ART RETAIL. In general, you should focus on analyzing SUN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SUN ART Predictive Forecast Models

SUN ART's time-series forecasting models is one of many SUN ART's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SUN ART's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SUN ART RETAIL

Checking the ongoing alerts about SUN ART for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SUN ART RETAIL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SUN ART RETAIL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SUN ART RETAIL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SUN ART RETAIL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in SUN Stock

SUN ART financial ratios help investors to determine whether SUN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SUN with respect to the benefits of owning SUN ART security.