Squirrel Media (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.34

SQRL Stock   1.31  0.03  2.24%   
Squirrel Media's future price is the expected price of Squirrel Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Squirrel Media SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Squirrel Media Backtesting, Squirrel Media Valuation, Squirrel Media Correlation, Squirrel Media Hype Analysis, Squirrel Media Volatility, Squirrel Media History as well as Squirrel Media Performance.
  
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Squirrel Media Target Price Odds to finish over 1.34

The tendency of Squirrel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.34  or more in 90 days
 1.31 90 days 1.34 
about 72.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Squirrel Media to move over  1.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.57 (This Squirrel Media SA probability density function shows the probability of Squirrel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Squirrel Media SA price to stay between its current price of  1.31  and  1.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Squirrel Media SA has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Squirrel Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Squirrel Media SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Squirrel Media SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Squirrel Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Squirrel Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Squirrel Media SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.313.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.122.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.343.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.281.311.34
Details

Squirrel Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Squirrel Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Squirrel Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Squirrel Media SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Squirrel Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Squirrel Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Squirrel Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Squirrel Media SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Squirrel Media SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Squirrel Media SA may become a speculative penny stock
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Squirrel Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Squirrel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Squirrel Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Squirrel Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.9 M

Squirrel Media Technical Analysis

Squirrel Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Squirrel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Squirrel Media SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Squirrel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Squirrel Media Predictive Forecast Models

Squirrel Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Squirrel Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Squirrel Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Squirrel Media SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Squirrel Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Squirrel Media SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Squirrel Media SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Squirrel Media SA may become a speculative penny stock
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Squirrel Stock

Squirrel Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Squirrel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Squirrel with respect to the benefits of owning Squirrel Media security.