Sequans Communications Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.27
| SQNS Stock | USD 2.89 0.04 1.40% |
Sequans |
Sequans Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 1.27
The tendency of Sequans Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.27 in 90 days |
| 2.89 | 90 days | 1.27 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sequans Communications to stay above $ 1.27 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sequans Communications SA probability density function shows the probability of Sequans Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sequans Communications price to stay between $ 1.27 and its current price of $2.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sequans Communications will likely underperform. Additionally Sequans Communications SA has an alpha of 0.2696, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sequans Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sequans Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sequans Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sequans Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sequans Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sequans Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sequans Communications SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sequans Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Sequans Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sequans Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sequans Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sequans Communications had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sequans Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 33.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.88 M. | |
| Sequans Communications SA currently holds about 16.75 M in cash with (7.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35. | |
| Sequans Communications has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sequans Shares Down 56 percent YTD Should Investors Buy the Dip |
Sequans Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sequans Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sequans Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sequans Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.7 M |
Sequans Communications Technical Analysis
Sequans Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sequans Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sequans Communications SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sequans Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sequans Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Sequans Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sequans Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sequans Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sequans Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sequans Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sequans Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sequans Communications had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sequans Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 33.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.88 M. | |
| Sequans Communications SA currently holds about 16.75 M in cash with (7.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35. | |
| Sequans Communications has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sequans Shares Down 56 percent YTD Should Investors Buy the Dip |
Additional Tools for Sequans Stock Analysis
When running Sequans Communications' price analysis, check to measure Sequans Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sequans Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Sequans Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sequans Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sequans Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sequans Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.