SP Group (Denmark) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 327.0

SPG Stock  DKK 294.00  5.00  1.67%   
SP Group's future price is the expected price of SP Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SP Group AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SP Group Backtesting, SP Group Valuation, SP Group Correlation, SP Group Hype Analysis, SP Group Volatility, SP Group History as well as SP Group Performance.
  
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SP Group Target Price Odds to finish below 327.0

The tendency of SPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 327.00  after 90 days
 294.00 90 days 327.00 
about 76.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SP Group to stay under kr 327.00  after 90 days from now is about 76.73 (This SP Group AS probability density function shows the probability of SPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SP Group AS price to stay between its current price of kr 294.00  and kr 327.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SP Group AS has a beta of -0.1. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SP Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SP Group AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SP Group AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SP Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SP Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SP Group AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
292.02294.00295.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
254.43256.41323.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
285.06287.04289.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
294.24310.68327.12
Details

SP Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SP Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SP Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SP Group AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SP Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
10.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

SP Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SP Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SP Group AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SP Group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SP Group AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SP Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SP Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SP Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.2 M

SP Group Technical Analysis

SP Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SP Group AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SP Group Predictive Forecast Models

SP Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many SP Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SP Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SP Group AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about SP Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SP Group AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SP Group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SP Group AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SPG Stock

SP Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPG with respect to the benefits of owning SP Group security.