WHG FINVEST (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 1,204
| SPDE11 Fund | 1,267 0.00 0.00% |
WHG |
WHG FINVEST Target Price Odds to finish below 1,204
The tendency of WHG Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,267 | 90 days | 1,267 | about 91.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WHG FINVEST to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 91.65 (This WHG FINVEST SP probability density function shows the probability of WHG Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WHG FINVEST has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, WHG FINVEST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WHG FINVEST SP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WHG FINVEST SP has an alpha of 0.2038, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WHG FINVEST Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WHG FINVEST
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WHG FINVEST SP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WHG FINVEST Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WHG FINVEST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WHG FINVEST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WHG FINVEST SP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WHG FINVEST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 61.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
WHG FINVEST Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WHG FINVEST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WHG FINVEST SP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WHG FINVEST SP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
WHG FINVEST Technical Analysis
WHG FINVEST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WHG Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WHG FINVEST SP. In general, you should focus on analyzing WHG Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WHG FINVEST Predictive Forecast Models
WHG FINVEST's time-series forecasting models is one of many WHG FINVEST's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WHG FINVEST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WHG FINVEST SP
Checking the ongoing alerts about WHG FINVEST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WHG FINVEST SP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WHG FINVEST SP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
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