Supercom Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.41
| SPCB Stock | USD 3.50 0.06 1.74% |
Supercom |
Supercom Target Price Odds to finish over 3.41
The tendency of Supercom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 3.41 in 90 days |
| 3.50 | 90 days | 3.41 | about 66.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supercom to stay above $ 3.41 in 90 days from now is about 66.81 (This Supercom probability density function shows the probability of Supercom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Supercom price to stay between $ 3.41 and its current price of $3.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Supercom has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Supercom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Supercom is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Supercom has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Supercom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Supercom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supercom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Supercom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Supercom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supercom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supercom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supercom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supercom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Supercom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supercom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supercom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.39 M. | |
| Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (2.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Supercom has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Launches New Domestic Violence Monitoring Project with the State Police of Latvia |
Supercom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supercom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supercom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supercom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 M |
Supercom Technical Analysis
Supercom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Supercom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Supercom. In general, you should focus on analyzing Supercom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Supercom Predictive Forecast Models
Supercom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Supercom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Supercom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Supercom
Checking the ongoing alerts about Supercom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Supercom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.39 M. | |
| Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (2.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Supercom has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Launches New Domestic Violence Monitoring Project with the State Police of Latvia |
Check out Supercom Backtesting, Supercom Valuation, Supercom Correlation, Supercom Hype Analysis, Supercom Volatility, Supercom History as well as Supercom Performance. For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Supercom. If investors know Supercom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Supercom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.104 | Earnings Share 21.93 | Revenue Per Share 30.762 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0072 |
The market value of Supercom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Supercom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Supercom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Supercom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Supercom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Supercom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Supercom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Supercom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Supercom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.