Soder Sportfiske (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.07

SODER Stock   25.40  0.80  3.25%   
Soder Sportfiske's future price is the expected price of Soder Sportfiske instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Soder Sportfiske AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Soder Sportfiske Backtesting, Soder Sportfiske Valuation, Soder Sportfiske Correlation, Soder Sportfiske Hype Analysis, Soder Sportfiske Volatility, Soder Sportfiske History as well as Soder Sportfiske Performance.
  
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Soder Sportfiske Target Price Odds to finish below 13.07

The tendency of Soder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.07  or more in 90 days
 25.40 90 days 13.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soder Sportfiske to drop to  13.07  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Soder Sportfiske AB probability density function shows the probability of Soder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soder Sportfiske price to stay between  13.07  and its current price of 25.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Soder Sportfiske has a beta of 0.9. This usually implies Soder Sportfiske AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Soder Sportfiske is expected to follow. Additionally Soder Sportfiske AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Soder Sportfiske Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Soder Sportfiske

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soder Sportfiske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0225.4028.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4521.8327.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0424.4227.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.4325.3026.18
Details

Soder Sportfiske Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soder Sportfiske is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soder Sportfiske's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soder Sportfiske AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soder Sportfiske within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.0069

Soder Sportfiske Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soder Sportfiske for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soder Sportfiske can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soder Sportfiske generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Soder Sportfiske has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Soder Sportfiske Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soder Sportfiske's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soder Sportfiske's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.4 M

Soder Sportfiske Technical Analysis

Soder Sportfiske's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soder Sportfiske AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Soder Sportfiske Predictive Forecast Models

Soder Sportfiske's time-series forecasting models is one of many Soder Sportfiske's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soder Sportfiske's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Soder Sportfiske

Checking the ongoing alerts about Soder Sportfiske for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soder Sportfiske help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soder Sportfiske generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Soder Sportfiske has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Soder Stock Analysis

When running Soder Sportfiske's price analysis, check to measure Soder Sportfiske's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Soder Sportfiske is operating at the current time. Most of Soder Sportfiske's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Soder Sportfiske's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Soder Sportfiske's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Soder Sportfiske to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.