Schweizerische Nationalbank (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3605.9

SNBN Stock  CHF 3,460  40.00  1.14%   
Schweizerische Nationalbank's future price is the expected price of Schweizerische Nationalbank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schweizerische Nationalbank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schweizerische Nationalbank Backtesting, Schweizerische Nationalbank Valuation, Schweizerische Nationalbank Correlation, Schweizerische Nationalbank Hype Analysis, Schweizerische Nationalbank Volatility, Schweizerische Nationalbank History as well as Schweizerische Nationalbank Performance.
  
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Schweizerische Nationalbank Target Price Odds to finish over 3605.9

The tendency of Schweizerische Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over ₣ 3,606  or more in 90 days
 3,460 90 days 3,606 
about 28.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schweizerische Nationalbank to move over ₣ 3,606  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.36 (This Schweizerische Nationalbank probability density function shows the probability of Schweizerische Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schweizerische Nationalbank price to stay between its current price of ₣ 3,460  and ₣ 3,606  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schweizerische Nationalbank has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Schweizerische Nationalbank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Schweizerische Nationalbank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Schweizerische Nationalbank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schweizerische Nationalbank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schweizerische Nationalbank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schweizerische Nationalbank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,4993,5003,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9302,9323,850
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,6053,6063,607
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,3843,4423,499
Details

Schweizerische Nationalbank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schweizerische Nationalbank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schweizerische Nationalbank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schweizerische Nationalbank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schweizerische Nationalbank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0021
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
93.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Schweizerische Nationalbank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schweizerische Nationalbank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schweizerische Nationalbank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schweizerische Nationalbank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Schweizerische Nationalbank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schweizerische Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schweizerische Nationalbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schweizerische Nationalbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments196.8 B

Schweizerische Nationalbank Technical Analysis

Schweizerische Nationalbank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schweizerische Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schweizerische Nationalbank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schweizerische Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schweizerische Nationalbank Predictive Forecast Models

Schweizerische Nationalbank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schweizerische Nationalbank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schweizerische Nationalbank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schweizerische Nationalbank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schweizerische Nationalbank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schweizerische Nationalbank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schweizerische Nationalbank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Schweizerische Stock Analysis

When running Schweizerische Nationalbank's price analysis, check to measure Schweizerische Nationalbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schweizerische Nationalbank is operating at the current time. Most of Schweizerische Nationalbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schweizerische Nationalbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schweizerische Nationalbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schweizerische Nationalbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.