Stars Microelectronics (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.66
| SMT Stock | THB 1.69 0.01 0.60% |
Stars |
Stars Microelectronics Target Price Odds to finish over 4.66
The tendency of Stars Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.66 or more in 90 days |
| 1.69 | 90 days | 4.66 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stars Microelectronics to move over 4.66 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Stars Microelectronics Public probability density function shows the probability of Stars Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stars Microelectronics price to stay between its current price of 1.69 and 4.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stars Microelectronics has a beta of 0.26. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stars Microelectronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stars Microelectronics Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stars Microelectronics Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stars Microelectronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stars Microelectronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stars Microelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stars Microelectronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stars Microelectronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stars Microelectronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stars Microelectronics Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stars Microelectronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Stars Microelectronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stars Microelectronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stars Microelectronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stars Microelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stars Microelectronics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Stars Microelectronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Stars Microelectronics Public has accumulated 528.42 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 92.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stars Microelectronics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stars Microelectronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stars Microelectronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stars Microelectronics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stars to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stars Microelectronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 38.0% of Stars Microelectronics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Stars Microelectronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stars Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stars Microelectronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stars Microelectronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 836.5 M |
Stars Microelectronics Technical Analysis
Stars Microelectronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stars Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stars Microelectronics Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stars Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stars Microelectronics Predictive Forecast Models
Stars Microelectronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Stars Microelectronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stars Microelectronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stars Microelectronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stars Microelectronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stars Microelectronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stars Microelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stars Microelectronics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Stars Microelectronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Stars Microelectronics Public has accumulated 528.42 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 92.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stars Microelectronics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stars Microelectronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stars Microelectronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stars Microelectronics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stars to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stars Microelectronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 38.0% of Stars Microelectronics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Stars Stock
Stars Microelectronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stars Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stars with respect to the benefits of owning Stars Microelectronics security.