Smartfit Escola (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.5
| SMFT3 Stock | 17.90 0.65 3.50% |
Smartfit |
Smartfit Escola Target Price Odds to finish over 18.5
The tendency of Smartfit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 18.50 or more in 90 days |
| 17.90 | 90 days | 18.50 | about 91.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smartfit Escola to move over 18.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.13 (This Smartfit Escola de probability density function shows the probability of Smartfit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Smartfit Escola de price to stay between its current price of 17.90 and 18.50 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Smartfit Escola has a beta of 0.0855. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Smartfit Escola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smartfit Escola de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smartfit Escola de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Smartfit Escola Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Smartfit Escola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smartfit Escola de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Smartfit Escola. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Smartfit Escola's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Smartfit Escola's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Smartfit Escola de.Smartfit Escola Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smartfit Escola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smartfit Escola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smartfit Escola de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smartfit Escola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Smartfit Escola Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smartfit Escola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smartfit Escola de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Smartfit Escola de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Smartfit Escola Technical Analysis
Smartfit Escola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smartfit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smartfit Escola de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smartfit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Smartfit Escola Predictive Forecast Models
Smartfit Escola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smartfit Escola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smartfit Escola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Smartfit Escola de
Checking the ongoing alerts about Smartfit Escola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smartfit Escola de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Smartfit Escola de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Smartfit Stock Analysis
When running Smartfit Escola's price analysis, check to measure Smartfit Escola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smartfit Escola is operating at the current time. Most of Smartfit Escola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smartfit Escola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smartfit Escola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smartfit Escola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.