Siemens Energy Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 59.52

SMEGF Stock  USD 54.90  3.32  6.44%   
Siemens Energy's future price is the expected price of Siemens Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siemens Energy AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siemens Energy Backtesting, Siemens Energy Valuation, Siemens Energy Correlation, Siemens Energy Hype Analysis, Siemens Energy Volatility, Siemens Energy History as well as Siemens Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Siemens Energy's target price for which you would like Siemens Energy odds to be computed.

Siemens Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 59.52

The tendency of Siemens Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 59.52  or more in 90 days
 54.90 90 days 59.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siemens Energy to move over $ 59.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Siemens Energy AG probability density function shows the probability of Siemens Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siemens Energy AG price to stay between its current price of $ 54.90  and $ 59.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Siemens Energy has a beta of 0.69. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Siemens Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siemens Energy AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siemens Energy AG has an alpha of 0.9621, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Siemens Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siemens Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siemens Energy AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.9054.9057.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.5256.5259.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.9454.9357.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.3551.1055.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siemens Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siemens Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siemens Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Siemens Energy AG.

Siemens Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siemens Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siemens Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siemens Energy AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siemens Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
7.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.31

Siemens Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siemens Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siemens Energy AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siemens Energy AG has accumulated 4.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Siemens Energy AG has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siemens Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siemens Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siemens Energy AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siemens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siemens Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 29 B. Net Loss for the year was (404 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 B.
About 40.0% of Siemens Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: A.O. Smith Corp Stock Price Up 3.3 percent on Nov 25

Siemens Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siemens Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siemens Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siemens Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding719.5 M

Siemens Energy Technical Analysis

Siemens Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siemens Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siemens Energy AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siemens Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siemens Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Siemens Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siemens Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siemens Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siemens Energy AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siemens Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siemens Energy AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siemens Energy AG has accumulated 4.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Siemens Energy AG has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siemens Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siemens Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siemens Energy AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siemens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siemens Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 29 B. Net Loss for the year was (404 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 B.
About 40.0% of Siemens Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: A.O. Smith Corp Stock Price Up 3.3 percent on Nov 25

Other Information on Investing in Siemens Pink Sheet

Siemens Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siemens Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siemens with respect to the benefits of owning Siemens Energy security.