Swiss Life (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 594.48
| SLHN Stock | CHF 721.60 3.80 0.53% |
Swiss |
Swiss Life Target Price Odds to finish below 594.48
The tendency of Swiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 594.48 or more in 90 days |
| 721.60 | 90 days | 594.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Life to drop to ₣ 594.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Swiss Life Holding probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swiss Life Holding price to stay between ₣ 594.48 and its current price of ₣721.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swiss Life Holding has a beta of -0.0971. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swiss Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swiss Life Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Swiss Life Holding has an alpha of 0.0872, implying that it can generate a 0.0872 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swiss Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swiss Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Life Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swiss Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Life Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Swiss Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.7 B |
Swiss Life Technical Analysis
Swiss Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Life Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swiss Life Predictive Forecast Models
Swiss Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Swiss Life in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Swiss Life's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Swiss Life options trading.
Additional Tools for Swiss Stock Analysis
When running Swiss Life's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Life is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.