Large Capitalization Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.30

SLGCX Fund  USD 12.27  0.19  1.52%   
Large Capitalization's future price is the expected price of Large Capitalization instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Large Capitalization Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Large Capitalization Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Large Capitalization Correlation, Large Capitalization Hype Analysis, Large Capitalization Volatility, Large Capitalization History as well as Large Capitalization Performance.
  
Please specify Large Capitalization's target price for which you would like Large Capitalization odds to be computed.

Large Capitalization Target Price Odds to finish below 9.30

The tendency of Large Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.30  or more in 90 days
 12.27 90 days 9.30 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Large Capitalization to drop to $ 9.30  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Large Capitalization Growth probability density function shows the probability of Large Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Large Capitalization price to stay between $ 9.30  and its current price of $12.27 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Large Capitalization has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Large Capitalization average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Large Capitalization Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Large Capitalization Growth has an alpha of 0.2906, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Large Capitalization Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Large Capitalization

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Large Capitalization. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Large Capitalization's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3712.2713.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2513.1514.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4912.3913.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7611.6812.59
Details

Large Capitalization Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Large Capitalization is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Large Capitalization's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Large Capitalization Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Large Capitalization within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Large Capitalization Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Large Capitalization for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Large Capitalization can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.32% of its assets in stocks

Large Capitalization Technical Analysis

Large Capitalization's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Large Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Large Capitalization Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Large Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Large Capitalization Predictive Forecast Models

Large Capitalization's time-series forecasting models is one of many Large Capitalization's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Large Capitalization's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Large Capitalization

Checking the ongoing alerts about Large Capitalization for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Large Capitalization help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.32% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Large Mutual Fund

Large Capitalization financial ratios help investors to determine whether Large Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Large with respect to the benefits of owning Large Capitalization security.
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