Spark Power Group Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.30

SKPGFDelisted Stock  USD 0.27  0.00  0.00%   
Spark Power's future price is the expected price of Spark Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Spark Power Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Spark Power's target price for which you would like Spark Power odds to be computed.

Spark Power Target Price Odds to finish below 0.30

The tendency of Spark Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.30  after 90 days
 0.27 90 days 0.30 
about 20.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spark Power to stay under $ 0.30  after 90 days from now is about 20.65 (This Spark Power Group probability density function shows the probability of Spark Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spark Power Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.27  and $ 0.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Spark Power Group has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Spark Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Spark Power Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Spark Power Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Spark Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Spark Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spark Power Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.270.270.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.250.250.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.280.280.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.270.270.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Spark Power. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Spark Power's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Spark Power's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Spark Power Group.

Spark Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spark Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spark Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spark Power Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spark Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Spark Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spark Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spark Power Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spark Power Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Spark Power Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spark Power Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Spark Power Group has accumulated 118.61 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Spark Power Group has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spark Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spark Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spark Power Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spark Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 255.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.19 M.
About 30.0% of Spark Power outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: MAK CAPITAL ONE LLC Reduces Stake in Fusion Fuel Green PLC - GuruFocus.com

Spark Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spark Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spark Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spark Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.9 M
Short Long Term Debt100.8 M

Spark Power Technical Analysis

Spark Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spark Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spark Power Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spark Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Spark Power Predictive Forecast Models

Spark Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Spark Power's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spark Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Spark Power Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Spark Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spark Power Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spark Power Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Spark Power Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spark Power Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Spark Power Group has accumulated 118.61 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Spark Power Group has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spark Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spark Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spark Power Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spark Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 255.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.19 M.
About 30.0% of Spark Power outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: MAK CAPITAL ONE LLC Reduces Stake in Fusion Fuel Green PLC - GuruFocus.com
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in Spark Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Spark Power Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Spark Power's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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