Skyline Investment (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.29

SKL Stock   1.48  0.01  0.67%   
Skyline Investment's future price is the expected price of Skyline Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Skyline Investment SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Skyline Investment Backtesting, Skyline Investment Valuation, Skyline Investment Correlation, Skyline Investment Hype Analysis, Skyline Investment Volatility, Skyline Investment History as well as Skyline Investment Performance.
  
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Skyline Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 1.29

The tendency of Skyline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.29  in 90 days
 1.48 90 days 1.29 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skyline Investment to stay above  1.29  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Skyline Investment SA probability density function shows the probability of Skyline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skyline Investment price to stay between  1.29  and its current price of 1.48 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Skyline Investment SA has a beta of -0.0149. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Skyline Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Skyline Investment SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Skyline Investment SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Skyline Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Skyline Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skyline Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skyline Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.494.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.293.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.554.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.481.571.67
Details

Skyline Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skyline Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skyline Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skyline Investment SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skyline Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Skyline Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skyline Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skyline Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skyline Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Skyline Investment may become a speculative penny stock
Skyline Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Skyline Investment generates negative cash flow from operations
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Skyline Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skyline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skyline Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skyline Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.8 M
Short Long Term Debt770 K
Shares FloatM

Skyline Investment Technical Analysis

Skyline Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skyline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skyline Investment SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skyline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Skyline Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Skyline Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Skyline Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skyline Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Skyline Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Skyline Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skyline Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skyline Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Skyline Investment may become a speculative penny stock
Skyline Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Skyline Investment generates negative cash flow from operations
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Skyline Stock Analysis

When running Skyline Investment's price analysis, check to measure Skyline Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skyline Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Skyline Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skyline Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skyline Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skyline Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.