Skeena Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.71

SKE Stock  CAD 13.13  0.13  1.00%   
Skeena Resources' future price is the expected price of Skeena Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Skeena Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Skeena Resources Backtesting, Skeena Resources Valuation, Skeena Resources Correlation, Skeena Resources Hype Analysis, Skeena Resources Volatility, Skeena Resources History as well as Skeena Resources Performance.
To learn how to invest in Skeena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Skeena Resources guide.
  
At this time, Skeena Resources' Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of December 2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to grow to 4.59, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (5.24). Please specify Skeena Resources' target price for which you would like Skeena Resources odds to be computed.

Skeena Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 10.71

The tendency of Skeena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 10.71  or more in 90 days
 13.13 90 days 10.71 
roughly 2.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skeena Resources to drop to C$ 10.71  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.14 (This Skeena Resources probability density function shows the probability of Skeena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skeena Resources price to stay between C$ 10.71  and its current price of C$13.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Skeena Resources has a beta of -0.33. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Skeena Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Skeena Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Skeena Resources has an alpha of 0.1706, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Skeena Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Skeena Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skeena Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3313.2216.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8310.7213.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.28-0.24-0.18
Details

Skeena Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skeena Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skeena Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skeena Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skeena Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Skeena Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skeena Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skeena Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (108.98 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.68 K).
Skeena Resources has accumulated about 40.6 M in cash with (90.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Skeena Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skeena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skeena Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skeena Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments92.7 M

Skeena Resources Technical Analysis

Skeena Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skeena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skeena Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skeena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Skeena Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Skeena Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Skeena Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skeena Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Skeena Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Skeena Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skeena Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (108.98 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.68 K).
Skeena Resources has accumulated about 40.6 M in cash with (90.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
When determining whether Skeena Resources is a strong investment it is important to analyze Skeena Resources' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Skeena Resources' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Skeena Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Skeena Resources Backtesting, Skeena Resources Valuation, Skeena Resources Correlation, Skeena Resources Hype Analysis, Skeena Resources Volatility, Skeena Resources History as well as Skeena Resources Performance.
To learn how to invest in Skeena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Skeena Resources guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Skeena Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Skeena Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Skeena Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.