OPERADORA (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.48
| SITES1A-1 | 13.84 0.16 1.14% |
OPERADORA |
OPERADORA Target Price Odds to finish over 12.48
The tendency of OPERADORA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 12.48 in 90 days |
| 13.84 | 90 days | 12.48 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OPERADORA to stay above 12.48 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This OPERADORA DE SITES probability density function shows the probability of OPERADORA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OPERADORA DE SITES price to stay between 12.48 and its current price of 13.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OPERADORA DE SITES has a beta of -0.38. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OPERADORA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OPERADORA DE SITES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OPERADORA DE SITES has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OPERADORA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OPERADORA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPERADORA DE SITES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OPERADORA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OPERADORA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OPERADORA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OPERADORA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OPERADORA DE SITES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OPERADORA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
OPERADORA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OPERADORA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OPERADORA DE SITES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OPERADORA DE SITES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
OPERADORA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OPERADORA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OPERADORA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OPERADORA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0241 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.48 | |
| Shares Float | 4.8 M |
OPERADORA Technical Analysis
OPERADORA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OPERADORA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OPERADORA DE SITES. In general, you should focus on analyzing OPERADORA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OPERADORA Predictive Forecast Models
OPERADORA's time-series forecasting models is one of many OPERADORA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OPERADORA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OPERADORA DE SITES
Checking the ongoing alerts about OPERADORA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OPERADORA DE SITES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OPERADORA DE SITES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in OPERADORA Stock
OPERADORA financial ratios help investors to determine whether OPERADORA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OPERADORA with respect to the benefits of owning OPERADORA security.