Singer Thailand (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.25

SINGER Stock  THB 9.25  0.30  3.35%   
Singer Thailand's future price is the expected price of Singer Thailand instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Singer Thailand Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Singer Thailand Backtesting, Singer Thailand Valuation, Singer Thailand Correlation, Singer Thailand Hype Analysis, Singer Thailand Volatility, Singer Thailand History as well as Singer Thailand Performance.
  
Please specify Singer Thailand's target price for which you would like Singer Thailand odds to be computed.

Singer Thailand Target Price Odds to finish below 9.25

The tendency of Singer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 9.25 90 days 9.25 
about 27.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Singer Thailand to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 27.58 (This Singer Thailand Public probability density function shows the probability of Singer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Singer Thailand Public has a beta of -0.0129. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Singer Thailand are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Singer Thailand Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Singer Thailand Public has an alpha of 0.0477, implying that it can generate a 0.0477 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Singer Thailand Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Singer Thailand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Singer Thailand Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Singer Thailand's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.789.2512.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.788.2511.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0110.4813.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.049.209.37
Details

Singer Thailand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Singer Thailand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Singer Thailand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Singer Thailand Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Singer Thailand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Singer Thailand Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Singer Thailand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Singer Thailand Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Singer Thailand had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Singer Thailand has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Singer Thailand Public has accumulated about 302.4 M in cash with (2.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.12.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Singer Thailand Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Singer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Singer Thailand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Singer Thailand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding800.1 M

Singer Thailand Technical Analysis

Singer Thailand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Singer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Singer Thailand Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Singer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Singer Thailand Predictive Forecast Models

Singer Thailand's time-series forecasting models is one of many Singer Thailand's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Singer Thailand's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Singer Thailand Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Singer Thailand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Singer Thailand Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Singer Thailand had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Singer Thailand has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Singer Thailand Public has accumulated about 302.4 M in cash with (2.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.12.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Singer Stock

Singer Thailand financial ratios help investors to determine whether Singer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Singer with respect to the benefits of owning Singer Thailand security.