UBS PF (Switzerland) Chance of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 154.13
| SIMA Fund | CHF 152.40 1.40 0.91% |
UBS |
UBS PF Target Price Odds to finish over 154.13
The tendency of UBS Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 154.13 or more in 90 days |
| 152.40 | 90 days | 154.13 | about 51.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS PF to move over ₣ 154.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 51.2 (This UBS PF Swiss probability density function shows the probability of UBS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBS PF Swiss price to stay between its current price of ₣ 152.40 and ₣ 154.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UBS PF Swiss has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UBS PF are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UBS PF Swiss is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UBS PF Swiss has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UBS PF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UBS PF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBS PF Swiss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UBS PF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UBS PF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UBS PF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBS PF Swiss, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UBS PF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
UBS PF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UBS PF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UBS PF Swiss can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UBS PF Swiss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
UBS PF Technical Analysis
UBS PF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBS Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBS PF Swiss. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBS Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UBS PF Predictive Forecast Models
UBS PF's time-series forecasting models is one of many UBS PF's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UBS PF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UBS PF Swiss
Checking the ongoing alerts about UBS PF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UBS PF Swiss help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UBS PF Swiss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in UBS Fund
UBS PF financial ratios help investors to determine whether UBS Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UBS with respect to the benefits of owning UBS PF security.
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