Amplify Etf Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 14.39

SILJ Etf  USD 12.03  0.05  0.41%   
Amplify ETF's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Amplify ETF Trust. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Amplify ETF based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Amplify ETF Trust over a specific time period. For example, SILJ Option Call 06-12-2024 12 is a CALL option contract on Amplify ETF's common stock with a strick price of 12.0 expiring on 2024-12-06. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-03 at 13:39:39 for $0.3 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 2.0. View All Amplify options

Closest to current price Amplify long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Amplify ETF's future price is the expected price of Amplify ETF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amplify ETF Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amplify ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amplify ETF Correlation, Amplify ETF Hype Analysis, Amplify ETF Volatility, Amplify ETF History as well as Amplify ETF Performance.
For more information on how to buy Amplify Etf please use our How to buy in Amplify Etf guide.
  
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Amplify ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 14.39

The tendency of Amplify Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.39  or more in 90 days
 12.03 90 days 14.39 
about 6.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplify ETF to move over $ 14.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.44 (This Amplify ETF Trust probability density function shows the probability of Amplify Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amplify ETF Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 12.03  and $ 14.39  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amplify ETF Trust has a beta of -0.0264. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amplify ETF are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amplify ETF Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amplify ETF Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amplify ETF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amplify ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0411.6214.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.4010.9813.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2312.8115.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8112.0212.22
Details

Amplify ETF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplify ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplify ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplify ETF Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplify ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Amplify ETF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplify ETF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplify ETF Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: SILJ, URNJ 2 Commodity ETFs with Solid Upside Potential, According to Analysts - MSN
This fund created-4.0 ten year return of -4.0%
Amplify ETF maintains 99.18% of its assets in stocks

Amplify ETF Technical Analysis

Amplify ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amplify Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amplify ETF Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amplify Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amplify ETF Predictive Forecast Models

Amplify ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amplify ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amplify ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amplify ETF Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplify ETF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplify ETF Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: SILJ, URNJ 2 Commodity ETFs with Solid Upside Potential, According to Analysts - MSN
This fund created-4.0 ten year return of -4.0%
Amplify ETF maintains 99.18% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Amplify ETF Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amplify ETF's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amplify ETF's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amplify Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Amplify ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amplify ETF Correlation, Amplify ETF Hype Analysis, Amplify ETF Volatility, Amplify ETF History as well as Amplify ETF Performance.
For more information on how to buy Amplify Etf please use our How to buy in Amplify Etf guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
The market value of Amplify ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.