Safety Shot Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.16
| SHOTW Stock | 0.18 0.01 5.88% |
Safety |
Safety Shot Target Price Odds to finish below 0.16
The tendency of Safety Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.16 or more in 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 0.16 | about 33.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safety Shot to drop to 0.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 33.3 (This Safety Shot probability density function shows the probability of Safety Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safety Shot price to stay between 0.16 and its current price of 0.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Safety Shot has a beta of -1.59. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Safety Shot are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Safety Shot is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Safety Shot has an alpha of 0.7811, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Safety Shot Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safety Shot
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safety Shot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safety Shot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Safety Shot Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safety Shot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safety Shot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safety Shot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safety Shot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Safety Shot Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safety Shot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safety Shot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safety Shot is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Safety Shot has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Safety Shot appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Safety Shot has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Safety Shot generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Safety Shot has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Safety shot director Melton sells shares worth 2,966 - Investing.com |
Safety Shot Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safety Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safety Shot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safety Shot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.4 M |
Safety Shot Technical Analysis
Safety Shot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safety Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safety Shot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safety Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safety Shot Predictive Forecast Models
Safety Shot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safety Shot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safety Shot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safety Shot
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safety Shot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safety Shot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safety Shot is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Safety Shot has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Safety Shot appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Safety Shot has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Safety Shot generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Safety Shot has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Safety shot director Melton sells shares worth 2,966 - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for Safety Stock Analysis
When running Safety Shot's price analysis, check to measure Safety Shot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Shot is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Shot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Shot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Shot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Shot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.