Catalystexceed Defined Shield Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.17

SHIIX Fund  USD 10.57  0.02  0.19%   
Catalystexceed Defined's future price is the expected price of Catalystexceed Defined instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Catalystexceed Defined Shield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Catalystexceed Defined Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Catalystexceed Defined Correlation, Catalystexceed Defined Hype Analysis, Catalystexceed Defined Volatility, Catalystexceed Defined History as well as Catalystexceed Defined Performance.
  
Please specify Catalystexceed Defined's target price for which you would like Catalystexceed Defined odds to be computed.

Catalystexceed Defined Target Price Odds to finish below 10.17

The tendency of Catalystexceed Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.17  or more in 90 days
 10.57 90 days 10.17 
about 15.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalystexceed Defined to drop to $ 10.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.44 (This Catalystexceed Defined Shield probability density function shows the probability of Catalystexceed Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalystexceed Defined price to stay between $ 10.17  and its current price of $10.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalystexceed Defined has a beta of 0.0579. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Catalystexceed Defined average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalystexceed Defined Shield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalystexceed Defined Shield has an alpha of 0.0848, implying that it can generate a 0.0848 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Catalystexceed Defined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalystexceed Defined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalystexceed Defined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2110.5710.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.329.6811.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2410.6010.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1910.4110.63
Details

Catalystexceed Defined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalystexceed Defined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalystexceed Defined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystexceed Defined Shield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalystexceed Defined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Catalystexceed Defined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalystexceed Defined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalystexceed Defined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 10.82% of its assets in cash

Catalystexceed Defined Technical Analysis

Catalystexceed Defined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalystexceed Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalystexceed Defined Shield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalystexceed Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Catalystexceed Defined Predictive Forecast Models

Catalystexceed Defined's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalystexceed Defined's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalystexceed Defined's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Catalystexceed Defined

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalystexceed Defined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalystexceed Defined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 10.82% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Catalystexceed Mutual Fund

Catalystexceed Defined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalystexceed Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalystexceed with respect to the benefits of owning Catalystexceed Defined security.
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