Soho House Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.83
| SHCO Stock | 4.96 0.03 0.60% |
Soho |
Soho House Target Price Odds to finish over 5.83
The tendency of Soho Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.83 or more in 90 days |
| 4.96 | 90 days | 5.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soho House to move over 5.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Soho House Co probability density function shows the probability of Soho Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soho House price to stay between its current price of 4.96 and 5.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Soho House will likely underperform. Additionally Soho House Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Soho House Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Soho House
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soho House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Soho House's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Soho House Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soho House is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soho House's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soho House Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soho House within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Soho House Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soho House for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soho House can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Soho House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soho House has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 595.28 M. | |
| Soho House has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: KANZHUN LIMITED Sponsored ADR Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates |
Soho House Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soho Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soho House's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soho House's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161.7 M |
Soho House Technical Analysis
Soho House's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soho Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soho House Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soho Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Soho House Predictive Forecast Models
Soho House's time-series forecasting models is one of many Soho House's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soho House's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Soho House
Checking the ongoing alerts about Soho House for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soho House help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Soho House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soho House has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 595.28 M. | |
| Soho House has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: KANZHUN LIMITED Sponsored ADR Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates |
Check out Soho House Backtesting, Soho House Valuation, Soho House Correlation, Soho House Hype Analysis, Soho House Volatility, Soho House History as well as Soho House Performance. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Soho House. If investors know Soho will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Soho House listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.91) | Revenue Per Share 5.924 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 | Return On Assets (0) | Return On Equity (5.83) |
The market value of Soho House is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Soho that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Soho House's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Soho House's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Soho House's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Soho House's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Soho House's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Soho House is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Soho House's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.