Sims (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.78

SGM Stock   12.73  0.25  1.93%   
Sims' future price is the expected price of Sims instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sims performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sims Backtesting, Sims Valuation, Sims Correlation, Sims Hype Analysis, Sims Volatility, Sims History as well as Sims Performance.
  
Please specify Sims' target price for which you would like Sims odds to be computed.

Sims Target Price Odds to finish over 10.78

The tendency of Sims Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  10.78  in 90 days
 12.73 90 days 10.78 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sims to stay above  10.78  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sims probability density function shows the probability of Sims Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sims price to stay between  10.78  and its current price of 12.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sims has a beta of 0.79. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sims average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sims will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sims has an alpha of 0.1648, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sims Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sims

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sims. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5212.7615.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1713.4115.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3212.5614.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.11-0.030.12
Details

Sims Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sims is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sims' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sims, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sims within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Sims Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sims for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sims can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 844.3 M.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors more bullish on Sims this week as stock ascends 5.8, despite earnings trending downwards over past five years - Simply Wall St

Sims Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sims Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sims' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sims' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding193.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments280.8 M

Sims Technical Analysis

Sims' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sims Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sims. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sims Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sims Predictive Forecast Models

Sims' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sims' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sims' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sims

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sims for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sims help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 844.3 M.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors more bullish on Sims this week as stock ascends 5.8, despite earnings trending downwards over past five years - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Sims Stock Analysis

When running Sims' price analysis, check to measure Sims' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sims is operating at the current time. Most of Sims' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sims' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sims' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sims to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.