Salvatore Ferragamo Spa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.15
| SFRGY Stock | USD 3.16 0.16 5.33% |
Salvatore |
Salvatore Ferragamo Target Price Odds to finish over 3.15
The tendency of Salvatore Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 3.15 in 90 days |
| 3.16 | 90 days | 3.15 | about 89.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salvatore Ferragamo to stay above $ 3.15 in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This Salvatore Ferragamo SpA probability density function shows the probability of Salvatore Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA price to stay between $ 3.15 and its current price of $3.16 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Salvatore Ferragamo has a beta of 0.58. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Salvatore Ferragamo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Salvatore Ferragamo SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Salvatore Ferragamo SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Salvatore Ferragamo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Salvatore Ferragamo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salvatore Ferragamo SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Salvatore Ferragamo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salvatore Ferragamo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salvatore Ferragamo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salvatore Ferragamo SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salvatore Ferragamo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Salvatore Ferragamo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salvatore Ferragamo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Salvatore Ferragamo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salvatore Ferragamo has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Salvatore Ferragamo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salvatore Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salvatore Ferragamo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salvatore Ferragamo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 337.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 511.8 M |
Salvatore Ferragamo Technical Analysis
Salvatore Ferragamo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salvatore Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salvatore Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salvatore Ferragamo Predictive Forecast Models
Salvatore Ferragamo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Salvatore Ferragamo's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salvatore Ferragamo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salvatore Ferragamo SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salvatore Ferragamo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Salvatore Ferragamo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salvatore Ferragamo has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Salvatore Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Salvatore Ferragamo's price analysis, check to measure Salvatore Ferragamo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Salvatore Ferragamo is operating at the current time. Most of Salvatore Ferragamo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Salvatore Ferragamo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Salvatore Ferragamo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Salvatore Ferragamo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.