Sequoia Financial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.49

SEQ Stock   0.37  0.01  2.63%   
Sequoia Financial's future price is the expected price of Sequoia Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sequoia Financial Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sequoia Financial Backtesting, Sequoia Financial Valuation, Sequoia Financial Correlation, Sequoia Financial Hype Analysis, Sequoia Financial Volatility, Sequoia Financial History as well as Sequoia Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Sequoia Financial's target price for which you would like Sequoia Financial odds to be computed.

Sequoia Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 0.49

The tendency of Sequoia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.49  or more in 90 days
 0.37 90 days 0.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sequoia Financial to move over  0.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sequoia Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Sequoia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sequoia Financial price to stay between its current price of  0.37  and  0.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sequoia Financial has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sequoia Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sequoia Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sequoia Financial Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sequoia Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sequoia Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sequoia Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.373.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.312.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.352.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.330.360.40
Details

Sequoia Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sequoia Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sequoia Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sequoia Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sequoia Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Sequoia Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sequoia Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sequoia Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sequoia Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sequoia Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 122.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.75 M.
Sequoia Financial Group has accumulated about 9.39 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sequoia Financial Advisors LLC Purchases 65,927 Shares of Apple Inc. - MarketBeat

Sequoia Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sequoia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sequoia Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sequoia Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.8 M

Sequoia Financial Technical Analysis

Sequoia Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sequoia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sequoia Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sequoia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sequoia Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Sequoia Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sequoia Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sequoia Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sequoia Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sequoia Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sequoia Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sequoia Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sequoia Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 122.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.75 M.
Sequoia Financial Group has accumulated about 9.39 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sequoia Financial Advisors LLC Purchases 65,927 Shares of Apple Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Sequoia Stock Analysis

When running Sequoia Financial's price analysis, check to measure Sequoia Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sequoia Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Sequoia Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sequoia Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sequoia Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sequoia Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.