Germina Agribusiness (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.65
| SEOM Stock | 1.65 0.05 3.12% |
Germina |
Germina Agribusiness Target Price Odds to finish over 1.65
The tendency of Germina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 1.65 | about 80.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Germina Agribusiness to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.7 (This Germina Agribusiness SA probability density function shows the probability of Germina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Germina Agribusiness has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Germina Agribusiness average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Germina Agribusiness SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Germina Agribusiness SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Germina Agribusiness Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Germina Agribusiness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Germina Agribusiness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Germina Agribusiness Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Germina Agribusiness is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Germina Agribusiness' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Germina Agribusiness SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Germina Agribusiness within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Germina Agribusiness Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Germina Agribusiness for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Germina Agribusiness can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Germina Agribusiness is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Germina Agribusiness generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Germina Agribusiness may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Germina Agribusiness has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Germina Agribusiness Technical Analysis
Germina Agribusiness' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Germina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Germina Agribusiness SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Germina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Germina Agribusiness Predictive Forecast Models
Germina Agribusiness' time-series forecasting models is one of many Germina Agribusiness' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Germina Agribusiness' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Germina Agribusiness
Checking the ongoing alerts about Germina Agribusiness for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Germina Agribusiness help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Germina Agribusiness is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Germina Agribusiness generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Germina Agribusiness may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Germina Agribusiness has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Germina Stock
Germina Agribusiness financial ratios help investors to determine whether Germina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Germina with respect to the benefits of owning Germina Agribusiness security.