Senseonics Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.42
| SENS Stock | USD 0.46 0.02 4.55% |
Senseonics |
Senseonics Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.42
The tendency of Senseonics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.42 or more in 90 days |
| 0.46 | 90 days | 0.42 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Senseonics Holdings to drop to $ 0.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Senseonics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Senseonics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Senseonics Holdings price to stay between $ 0.42 and its current price of $0.46 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Senseonics Holdings has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Senseonics Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Senseonics Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Senseonics Holdings has an alpha of 0.4604, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Senseonics Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Senseonics Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senseonics Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Senseonics Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Senseonics Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Senseonics Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Senseonics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Senseonics Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Senseonics Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Senseonics Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Senseonics Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Senseonics Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Senseonics Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Senseonics Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Senseonics Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.73 M. | |
| Senseonics Holdings currently holds about 139.18 M in cash with (70.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3. | |
| Senseonics Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Acquisition by Frederick Sullivan of 124933 shares of Senseonics Holdings at 0.38 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Senseonics Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Senseonics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Senseonics Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Senseonics Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 568 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 109.5 M |
Senseonics Holdings Technical Analysis
Senseonics Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Senseonics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Senseonics Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Senseonics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Senseonics Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Senseonics Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Senseonics Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Senseonics Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Senseonics Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Senseonics Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Senseonics Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Senseonics Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Senseonics Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Senseonics Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Senseonics Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.73 M. | |
| Senseonics Holdings currently holds about 139.18 M in cash with (70.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3. | |
| Senseonics Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Acquisition by Frederick Sullivan of 124933 shares of Senseonics Holdings at 0.38 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Senseonics Stock Analysis
When running Senseonics Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Senseonics Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senseonics Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Senseonics Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senseonics Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senseonics Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senseonics Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.