Seiko Epson Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.85
| SEKEY Stock | USD 9.25 0.05 0.54% |
Seiko |
Seiko Epson Target Price Odds to finish below 7.85
The tendency of Seiko Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.85 or more in 90 days |
| 9.25 | 90 days | 7.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seiko Epson to drop to $ 7.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seiko Epson Corp probability density function shows the probability of Seiko Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seiko Epson Corp price to stay between $ 7.85 and its current price of $9.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Seiko Epson has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Seiko Epson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seiko Epson Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seiko Epson Corp has an alpha of 0.0169, implying that it can generate a 0.0169 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Seiko Epson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seiko Epson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seiko Epson Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seiko Epson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seiko Epson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seiko Epson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seiko Epson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seiko Epson Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seiko Epson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0074 |
Seiko Epson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seiko Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seiko Epson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seiko Epson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 692.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 336 B |
Seiko Epson Technical Analysis
Seiko Epson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seiko Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seiko Epson Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seiko Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seiko Epson Predictive Forecast Models
Seiko Epson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seiko Epson's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seiko Epson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Seiko Epson in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Seiko Epson's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Seiko Epson options trading.
Additional Tools for Seiko Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Seiko Epson's price analysis, check to measure Seiko Epson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seiko Epson is operating at the current time. Most of Seiko Epson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seiko Epson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seiko Epson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seiko Epson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.