NForce Secure (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.18
| SECURE Stock | 12.30 0.20 1.65% |
NForce |
NForce Secure Target Price Odds to finish below 7.18
The tendency of NForce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.18 or more in 90 days |
| 12.30 | 90 days | 7.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NForce Secure to drop to 7.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This nForce Secure Public probability density function shows the probability of NForce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of nForce Secure Public price to stay between 7.18 and its current price of 12.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon nForce Secure Public has a beta of -0.0683. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NForce Secure are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, nForce Secure Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NForce Secure Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NForce Secure Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NForce Secure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as nForce Secure Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NForce Secure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NForce Secure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NForce Secure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold nForce Secure Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NForce Secure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
NForce Secure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NForce Secure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for nForce Secure Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| nForce Secure Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
NForce Secure Technical Analysis
NForce Secure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NForce Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of nForce Secure Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing NForce Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NForce Secure Predictive Forecast Models
NForce Secure's time-series forecasting models is one of many NForce Secure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NForce Secure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about nForce Secure Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about NForce Secure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for nForce Secure Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| nForce Secure Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |