Siit Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.88

SECAX Fund  USD 13.02  0.06  0.46%   
Siit Small's future price is the expected price of Siit Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siit Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siit Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Siit Small Correlation, Siit Small Hype Analysis, Siit Small Volatility, Siit Small History as well as Siit Small Performance.
  
Please specify Siit Small's target price for which you would like Siit Small odds to be computed.

Siit Small Target Price Odds to finish below 11.88

The tendency of Siit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.88  or more in 90 days
 13.02 90 days 11.88 
about 26.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siit Small to drop to $ 11.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.36 (This Siit Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Siit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siit Small Cap price to stay between $ 11.88  and its current price of $13.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Siit Small will likely underperform. Additionally Siit Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Siit Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siit Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siit Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8713.0214.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6812.8313.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9713.1214.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6212.8913.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siit Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siit Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siit Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Siit Small Cap.

Siit Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siit Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siit Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siit Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siit Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Siit Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siit Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siit Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.11% of its assets in cash

Siit Small Technical Analysis

Siit Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siit Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siit Small Predictive Forecast Models

Siit Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siit Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siit Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siit Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siit Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siit Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.11% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Siit Mutual Fund

Siit Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siit with respect to the benefits of owning Siit Small security.
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