Sebata Holdings (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.70
| SEB Stock | 98.00 7.00 6.67% |
Sebata |
Sebata Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 68.70
The tendency of Sebata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 68.70 or more in 90 days |
| 98.00 | 90 days | 68.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sebata Holdings to drop to 68.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sebata Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Sebata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sebata Holdings price to stay between 68.70 and its current price of 98.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sebata Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Sebata Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sebata Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sebata Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sebata Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sebata Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sebata Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sebata Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sebata Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sebata Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Sebata Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sebata Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sebata Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sebata Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sebata Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 25.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (707.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.13 M. | |
| Sebata Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sebata Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sebata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sebata Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sebata Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 133.8 M |
Sebata Holdings Technical Analysis
Sebata Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sebata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sebata Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sebata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sebata Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Sebata Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sebata Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sebata Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sebata Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sebata Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sebata Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sebata Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sebata Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 25.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (707.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.13 M. | |
| Sebata Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sebata Stock
Sebata Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sebata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sebata with respect to the benefits of owning Sebata Holdings security.