SE Education (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.05
| SE-ED Stock | THB 2.04 0.02 0.97% |
SE-ED |
SE Education Target Price Odds to finish over 2.05
The tendency of SE-ED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.05 or more in 90 days |
| 2.04 | 90 days | 2.05 | about 75.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SE Education to move over 2.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.1 (This SE Education Public probability density function shows the probability of SE-ED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SE Education Public price to stay between its current price of 2.04 and 2.05 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SE Education Public has a beta of -0.0968. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SE Education are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SE Education Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SE Education Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SE Education Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SE Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SE Education Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SE Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SE Education Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SE Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SE Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SE Education Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SE Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0052 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
SE Education Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SE Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SE Education Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SE Education Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SE Education Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SE Education Public has accumulated 241.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SE Education Public has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SE Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SE Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SE Education Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SE-ED to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SE Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 675.98 M. | |
| About 72.0% of SE Education outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SE Education Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SE-ED Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SE Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SE Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 391.9 M |
SE Education Technical Analysis
SE Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SE-ED Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SE Education Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing SE-ED Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SE Education Predictive Forecast Models
SE Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many SE Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SE Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SE Education Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about SE Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SE Education Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SE Education Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SE Education Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SE Education Public has accumulated 241.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SE Education Public has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SE Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SE Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SE Education Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SE-ED to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SE Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 675.98 M. | |
| About 72.0% of SE Education outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SE-ED Stock
SE Education financial ratios help investors to determine whether SE-ED Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SE-ED with respect to the benefits of owning SE Education security.