Scp Fundo (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 0.10
| SCPF11 Fund | BRL 1.98 0.08 4.21% |
Scp |
Scp Fundo Target Price Odds to finish below 0.10
The tendency of Scp Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 0.10 or more in 90 days |
| 1.98 | 90 days | 0.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scp Fundo to drop to R$ 0.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Scp Fundo De probability density function shows the probability of Scp Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scp Fundo De price to stay between R$ 0.10 and its current price of R$1.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scp Fundo De has a beta of -0.32. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Scp Fundo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Scp Fundo De is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Scp Fundo De has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Scp Fundo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scp Fundo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scp Fundo De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scp Fundo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scp Fundo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scp Fundo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scp Fundo De, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scp Fundo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Scp Fundo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scp Fundo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scp Fundo De can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scp Fundo De generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scp Fundo De may become a speculative penny stock |
Scp Fundo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scp Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scp Fundo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scp Fundo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 418 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 633 |
Scp Fundo Technical Analysis
Scp Fundo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scp Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scp Fundo De. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scp Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Scp Fundo Predictive Forecast Models
Scp Fundo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scp Fundo's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scp Fundo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Scp Fundo De
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scp Fundo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scp Fundo De help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Scp Fundo De generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scp Fundo De may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Scp Fund
Scp Fundo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scp Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scp with respect to the benefits of owning Scp Fundo security.
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