Searchlight Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.008575
| SCLT Stock | CAD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Searchlight |
Searchlight Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.008575
The tendency of Searchlight Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 57.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Searchlight Resources to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.53 (This Searchlight Resources probability density function shows the probability of Searchlight Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Searchlight Resources price to stay between C$ 0.01 and its current price of C$0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Searchlight Resources has a beta of -3.86. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Searchlight Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Searchlight Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Searchlight Resources has an alpha of 4.6093, implying that it can generate a 4.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Searchlight Resources Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Searchlight Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Searchlight Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Searchlight Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Searchlight Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Searchlight Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Searchlight Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Searchlight Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Searchlight Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 4.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Searchlight Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Searchlight Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Searchlight Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Searchlight Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Searchlight Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Searchlight Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated 138.81 K in total debt. Searchlight Resources has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Searchlight Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Searchlight Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Searchlight Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Searchlight to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Searchlight Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (915). | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated about 78.08 K in cash with (1.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Searchlight Resources Completes Airborne Radiometric Survey of the Daly Lake Rare Earth and Uranium Project - Yahoo Finance |
Searchlight Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Searchlight Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Searchlight Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Searchlight Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Searchlight Resources Technical Analysis
Searchlight Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Searchlight Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Searchlight Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Searchlight Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Searchlight Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Searchlight Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Searchlight Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Searchlight Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Searchlight Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Searchlight Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Searchlight Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Searchlight Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Searchlight Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Searchlight Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated 138.81 K in total debt. Searchlight Resources has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Searchlight Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Searchlight Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Searchlight Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Searchlight to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Searchlight Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (915). | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated about 78.08 K in cash with (1.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Searchlight Resources Completes Airborne Radiometric Survey of the Daly Lake Rare Earth and Uranium Project - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Searchlight Stock Analysis
When running Searchlight Resources' price analysis, check to measure Searchlight Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Searchlight Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Searchlight Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Searchlight Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Searchlight Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Searchlight Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.