Schwager (Chile) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.06

SCHWAGER  CLP 1.08  0.03  2.86%   
Schwager's future price is the expected price of Schwager instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schwager performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schwager Backtesting, Schwager Valuation, Schwager Correlation, Schwager Hype Analysis, Schwager Volatility, Schwager History as well as Schwager Performance.
  
Please specify Schwager's target price for which you would like Schwager odds to be computed.

Schwager Target Price Odds to finish over 1.06

The tendency of Schwager Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.06  in 90 days
 1.08 90 days 1.06 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schwager to stay above  1.06  in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Schwager probability density function shows the probability of Schwager Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schwager price to stay between  1.06  and its current price of 1.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schwager has a beta of -0.0529. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Schwager are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Schwager is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Schwager has an alpha of 0.1559, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Schwager Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schwager

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schwager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.181.081.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.901.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.181.081.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.061.071.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Schwager. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Schwager's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Schwager's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Schwager.

Schwager Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schwager is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schwager's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schwager, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schwager within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Schwager Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schwager for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schwager can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schwager has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has 4.57 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Schwager has accumulated about 1.3 B in cash with (3.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Schwager Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schwager Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schwager's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schwager's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.5 B

Schwager Technical Analysis

Schwager's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schwager Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schwager. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schwager Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schwager Predictive Forecast Models

Schwager's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schwager's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schwager's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schwager

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schwager for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schwager help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schwager has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has 4.57 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Schwager has accumulated about 1.3 B in cash with (3.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Schwager Stock

Schwager financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schwager Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schwager with respect to the benefits of owning Schwager security.