Schouw (Denmark) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 548.69

SCHO Stock  DKK 543.00  5.00  0.91%   
Schouw's future price is the expected price of Schouw instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schouw Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schouw Backtesting, Schouw Valuation, Schouw Correlation, Schouw Hype Analysis, Schouw Volatility, Schouw History as well as Schouw Performance.
  
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Schouw Target Price Odds to finish below 548.69

The tendency of Schouw Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 548.69  after 90 days
 543.00 90 days 548.69 
about 6.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schouw to stay under kr 548.69  after 90 days from now is about 6.53 (This Schouw Co probability density function shows the probability of Schouw Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schouw price to stay between its current price of kr 543.00  and kr 548.69  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schouw has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Schouw average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Schouw Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Schouw Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schouw Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schouw

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schouw. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
541.94543.00544.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
444.20445.26597.30
Details

Schouw Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schouw is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schouw's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schouw Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schouw within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
14.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Schouw Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schouw for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schouw can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schouw generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Schouw Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schouw Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schouw's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schouw's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24 M

Schouw Technical Analysis

Schouw's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schouw Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schouw Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schouw Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schouw Predictive Forecast Models

Schouw's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schouw's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schouw's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schouw

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schouw for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schouw help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schouw generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Schouw Stock

Schouw financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schouw Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schouw with respect to the benefits of owning Schouw security.