Steward Small Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.64

SCECX Fund  USD 14.72  0.05  0.34%   
Steward Small-mid's future price is the expected price of Steward Small-mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Steward Small Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steward Small-mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Steward Small-mid Correlation, Steward Small-mid Hype Analysis, Steward Small-mid Volatility, Steward Small-mid History as well as Steward Small-mid Performance.
  
Please specify Steward Small-mid's target price for which you would like Steward Small-mid odds to be computed.

Steward Small-mid Target Price Odds to finish below 13.64

The tendency of Steward Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.64  or more in 90 days
 14.72 90 days 13.64 
about 40.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steward Small-mid to drop to $ 13.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.4 (This Steward Small Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Steward Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steward Small Mid price to stay between $ 13.64  and its current price of $14.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Steward Small-mid has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Steward Small-mid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Steward Small Mid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Steward Small Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0997, implying that it can generate a 0.0997 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Steward Small-mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steward Small-mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steward Small Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Steward Small-mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6614.7315.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4314.5015.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7214.7915.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2414.5214.81
Details

Steward Small-mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steward Small-mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steward Small-mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steward Small Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steward Small-mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Steward Small-mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steward Small-mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steward Small Mid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Steward Small-mid Technical Analysis

Steward Small-mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steward Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steward Small Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steward Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steward Small-mid Predictive Forecast Models

Steward Small-mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steward Small-mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steward Small-mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steward Small Mid

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steward Small-mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steward Small Mid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Steward Mutual Fund

Steward Small-mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steward Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steward with respect to the benefits of owning Steward Small-mid security.
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