So Carlos (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.26
| SCAR3 Stock | BRL 19.90 0.76 3.97% |
SCAR3 |
So Carlos Target Price Odds to finish over 30.26
The tendency of SCAR3 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 30.26 or more in 90 days |
| 19.90 | 90 days | 30.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of So Carlos to move over R$ 30.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This So Carlos Empreendimentos probability density function shows the probability of SCAR3 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of So Carlos Empreendimentos price to stay between its current price of R$ 19.90 and R$ 30.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon So Carlos Empreendimentos has a beta of -0.32. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding So Carlos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, So Carlos Empreendimentos is likely to outperform the market. Additionally So Carlos Empreendimentos has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. So Carlos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for So Carlos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as So Carlos Empreendimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.So Carlos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. So Carlos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the So Carlos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold So Carlos Empreendimentos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of So Carlos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
So Carlos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of So Carlos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for So Carlos Empreendimentos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| So Carlos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
So Carlos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SCAR3 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential So Carlos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. So Carlos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111.5 M |
So Carlos Technical Analysis
So Carlos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCAR3 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of So Carlos Empreendimentos. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCAR3 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
So Carlos Predictive Forecast Models
So Carlos' time-series forecasting models is one of many So Carlos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary So Carlos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about So Carlos Empreendimentos
Checking the ongoing alerts about So Carlos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for So Carlos Empreendimentos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| So Carlos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for SCAR3 Stock Analysis
When running So Carlos' price analysis, check to measure So Carlos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy So Carlos is operating at the current time. Most of So Carlos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of So Carlos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move So Carlos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of So Carlos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.