SVENSKA CELLULO (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.73
| SCA Stock | 11.78 0.04 0.34% |
SVENSKA |
SVENSKA CELLULO Target Price Odds to finish below 10.73
The tendency of SVENSKA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.73 or more in 90 days |
| 11.78 | 90 days | 10.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SVENSKA CELLULO to drop to 10.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SVENSKA CELLULO B probability density function shows the probability of SVENSKA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SVENSKA CELLULO B price to stay between 10.73 and its current price of 11.78 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SVENSKA CELLULO has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SVENSKA CELLULO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SVENSKA CELLULO B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SVENSKA CELLULO B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SVENSKA CELLULO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SVENSKA CELLULO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SVENSKA CELLULO B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SVENSKA CELLULO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SVENSKA CELLULO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SVENSKA CELLULO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SVENSKA CELLULO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SVENSKA CELLULO B , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SVENSKA CELLULO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
SVENSKA CELLULO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SVENSKA CELLULO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SVENSKA CELLULO B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SVENSKA CELLULO B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
SVENSKA CELLULO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SVENSKA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SVENSKA CELLULO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SVENSKA CELLULO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 702.3 M |
SVENSKA CELLULO Technical Analysis
SVENSKA CELLULO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SVENSKA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SVENSKA CELLULO B . In general, you should focus on analyzing SVENSKA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SVENSKA CELLULO Predictive Forecast Models
SVENSKA CELLULO's time-series forecasting models is one of many SVENSKA CELLULO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SVENSKA CELLULO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SVENSKA CELLULO B
Checking the ongoing alerts about SVENSKA CELLULO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SVENSKA CELLULO B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SVENSKA CELLULO B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for SVENSKA Stock Analysis
When running SVENSKA CELLULO's price analysis, check to measure SVENSKA CELLULO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SVENSKA CELLULO is operating at the current time. Most of SVENSKA CELLULO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SVENSKA CELLULO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SVENSKA CELLULO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SVENSKA CELLULO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.