State Bank (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 856.25
| SBIN Stock | 799.65 12.80 1.58% |
State |
State Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 856.25
The tendency of State Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 856.25 after 90 days |
| 799.65 | 90 days | 856.25 | about 91.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of State Bank to stay under 856.25 after 90 days from now is about 91.08 (This State Bank of probability density function shows the probability of State Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of State Bank price to stay between its current price of 799.65 and 856.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon State Bank has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, State Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding State Bank of will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally State Bank of has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. State Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for State Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as State Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.State Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. State Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the State Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold State Bank of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of State Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0048 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
State Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of State Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for State Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| State Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock to buy in 2025 SBI, Tata Motors among 11 largecap stock ideas from Mirae Asset Sharekhan - The Economic Times |
State Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of State Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential State Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. State Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 T |
State Bank Technical Analysis
State Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. State Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of State Bank of. In general, you should focus on analyzing State Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
State Bank Predictive Forecast Models
State Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many State Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary State Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about State Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about State Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for State Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| State Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock to buy in 2025 SBI, Tata Motors among 11 largecap stock ideas from Mirae Asset Sharekhan - The Economic Times |
Additional Tools for State Stock Analysis
When running State Bank's price analysis, check to measure State Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy State Bank is operating at the current time. Most of State Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of State Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move State Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of State Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.