Sextant Bond Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 4.01

SBIFX Fund  USD 4.39  0.02  0.45%   
Sextant Bond's future price is the expected price of Sextant Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sextant Bond Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sextant Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sextant Bond Correlation, Sextant Bond Hype Analysis, Sextant Bond Volatility, Sextant Bond History as well as Sextant Bond Performance.
  
Please specify Sextant Bond's target price for which you would like Sextant Bond odds to be computed.

Sextant Bond Target Price Odds to finish below 4.01

The tendency of Sextant Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.01  or more in 90 days
 4.39 90 days 4.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sextant Bond to drop to $ 4.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sextant Bond Income probability density function shows the probability of Sextant Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sextant Bond Income price to stay between $ 4.01  and its current price of $4.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sextant Bond has a beta of 0.0979. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sextant Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sextant Bond Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sextant Bond Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sextant Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sextant Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sextant Bond Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.954.925.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.094.474.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sextant Bond. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sextant Bond's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sextant Bond's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sextant Bond Income.

Sextant Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sextant Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sextant Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sextant Bond Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sextant Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Sextant Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sextant Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sextant Bond Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sextant Bond Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Big hedge funds score November gains with Trump election - Reuters
Sextant Bond Income generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 5.22% of its assets in cash

Sextant Bond Technical Analysis

Sextant Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sextant Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sextant Bond Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sextant Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sextant Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Sextant Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sextant Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sextant Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sextant Bond Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sextant Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sextant Bond Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sextant Bond Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Big hedge funds score November gains with Trump election - Reuters
Sextant Bond Income generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 5.22% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Sextant Mutual Fund

Sextant Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sextant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sextant with respect to the benefits of owning Sextant Bond security.
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