Stet California Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.27

SBDAX Fund  USD 10.29  0.01  0.1%   
Stet California's future price is the expected price of Stet California instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stet California Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stet California Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stet California Correlation, Stet California Hype Analysis, Stet California Volatility, Stet California History as well as Stet California Performance.
  
Please specify Stet California's target price for which you would like Stet California odds to be computed.

Stet California Target Price Odds to finish below 10.27

The tendency of Stet Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.27  or more in 90 days
 10.29 90 days 10.27 
about 73.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stet California to drop to $ 10.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.85 (This Stet California Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Stet Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stet California Municipal price to stay between $ 10.27  and its current price of $10.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stet California has a beta of 0.013. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stet California average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stet California Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stet California Municipal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stet California Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stet California

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stet California Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1010.3010.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1010.2110.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stet California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stet California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stet California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stet California Municipal.

Stet California Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stet California is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stet California's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stet California Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stet California within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0025
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.6

Stet California Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stet California for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stet California Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Stet California Municipal maintains about 99.34% of its assets in bonds

Stet California Technical Analysis

Stet California's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stet Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stet California Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stet Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stet California Predictive Forecast Models

Stet California's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stet California's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stet California's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stet California Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stet California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stet California Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Stet California Municipal maintains about 99.34% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Stet Mutual Fund

Stet California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stet Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stet with respect to the benefits of owning Stet California security.
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