Safe Bulkers Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 25.35

SB-PC Preferred Stock  USD 25.42  0.09  0.35%   
Safe Bulkers' future price is the expected price of Safe Bulkers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Safe Bulkers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Safe Bulkers Backtesting, Safe Bulkers Valuation, Safe Bulkers Correlation, Safe Bulkers Hype Analysis, Safe Bulkers Volatility, Safe Bulkers History as well as Safe Bulkers Performance.
For information on how to trade Safe Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Safe Preferred Stock guide.
  
Please specify Safe Bulkers' target price for which you would like Safe Bulkers odds to be computed.

Safe Bulkers Target Price Odds to finish below 25.35

The tendency of Safe Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 25.35  or more in 90 days
 25.42 90 days 25.35 
about 41.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safe Bulkers to drop to $ 25.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.06 (This Safe Bulkers probability density function shows the probability of Safe Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safe Bulkers price to stay between $ 25.35  and its current price of $25.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Safe Bulkers has a beta of -0.0261. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Safe Bulkers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Safe Bulkers is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Safe Bulkers has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Safe Bulkers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Safe Bulkers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe Bulkers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9825.4225.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7225.1625.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9025.3525.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.3525.6425.92
Details

Safe Bulkers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safe Bulkers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safe Bulkers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safe Bulkers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safe Bulkers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Safe Bulkers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safe Bulkers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safe Bulkers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe Bulkers has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Safe Bulkers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safe Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safe Bulkers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safe Bulkers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments102.1 M

Safe Bulkers Technical Analysis

Safe Bulkers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safe Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safe Bulkers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safe Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Safe Bulkers Predictive Forecast Models

Safe Bulkers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Safe Bulkers' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safe Bulkers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Safe Bulkers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Safe Bulkers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safe Bulkers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safe Bulkers has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in Safe Preferred Stock

Safe Bulkers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Safe Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Safe with respect to the benefits of owning Safe Bulkers security.