Moderately Aggressive Balanced Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.18

SAMIX Fund  USD 12.64  0.02  0.16%   
Moderately Aggressive's future price is the expected price of Moderately Aggressive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moderately Aggressive Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moderately Aggressive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Moderately Aggressive Correlation, Moderately Aggressive Hype Analysis, Moderately Aggressive Volatility, Moderately Aggressive History as well as Moderately Aggressive Performance.
  
Please specify Moderately Aggressive's target price for which you would like Moderately Aggressive odds to be computed.

Moderately Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish over 13.18

The tendency of Moderately Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.18  or more in 90 days
 12.64 90 days 13.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moderately Aggressive to move over $ 13.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Moderately Aggressive Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Moderately Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moderately Aggressive price to stay between its current price of $ 12.64  and $ 13.18  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Moderately Aggressive has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Moderately Aggressive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moderately Aggressive Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moderately Aggressive Balanced has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Moderately Aggressive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moderately Aggressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moderately Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0412.5513.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0012.5113.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1712.6813.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4012.5212.64
Details

Moderately Aggressive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moderately Aggressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moderately Aggressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moderately Aggressive Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moderately Aggressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Moderately Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moderately Aggressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moderately Aggressive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.1% of its assets in cash

Moderately Aggressive Technical Analysis

Moderately Aggressive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moderately Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moderately Aggressive Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moderately Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moderately Aggressive Predictive Forecast Models

Moderately Aggressive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moderately Aggressive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moderately Aggressive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moderately Aggressive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moderately Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moderately Aggressive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.1% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Moderately Mutual Fund

Moderately Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moderately Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moderately with respect to the benefits of owning Moderately Aggressive security.
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