Salzer Electronics (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1071.5
| SALZERELEC | 1,506 30.30 2.05% |
Salzer |
Salzer Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 1071.5
The tendency of Salzer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,072 or more in 90 days |
| 1,506 | 90 days | 1,072 | about 43.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salzer Electronics to drop to 1,072 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.02 (This Salzer Electronics Limited probability density function shows the probability of Salzer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salzer Electronics price to stay between 1,072 and its current price of 1505.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Salzer Electronics Limited has a beta of -0.65. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Salzer Electronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Salzer Electronics Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Salzer Electronics Limited has an alpha of 0.7655, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Salzer Electronics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Salzer Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salzer Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Salzer Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Salzer Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salzer Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salzer Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salzer Electronics Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salzer Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 156.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Salzer Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salzer Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salzer Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Salzer Electronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Salzer Electronics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Salzer Electronics Reaches 52-Week High of Rs. 1438, Up 248.95 percent Yearly - MarketsMojo |
Salzer Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salzer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salzer Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salzer Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.8 M |
Salzer Electronics Technical Analysis
Salzer Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salzer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salzer Electronics Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salzer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salzer Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
Salzer Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Salzer Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salzer Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salzer Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salzer Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salzer Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Salzer Electronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Salzer Electronics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Salzer Electronics Reaches 52-Week High of Rs. 1438, Up 248.95 percent Yearly - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in Salzer Stock
Salzer Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salzer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salzer with respect to the benefits of owning Salzer Electronics security.