Sachem Capital Corp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 16.11

SACH-PA Preferred Stock   19.20  0.08  0.41%   
Sachem Capital's future price is the expected price of Sachem Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sachem Capital Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sachem Capital Backtesting, Sachem Capital Valuation, Sachem Capital Correlation, Sachem Capital Hype Analysis, Sachem Capital Volatility, Sachem Capital History as well as Sachem Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Sachem Capital's target price for which you would like Sachem Capital odds to be computed.

Sachem Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 16.11

The tendency of Sachem Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  16.11  or more in 90 days
 19.20 90 days 16.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sachem Capital to drop to  16.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sachem Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sachem Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sachem Capital Corp price to stay between  16.11  and its current price of 19.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sachem Capital has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sachem Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sachem Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sachem Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sachem Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sachem Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sachem Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7019.2020.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3716.8721.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1017.6019.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3121.6424.98
Details

Sachem Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sachem Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sachem Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sachem Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sachem Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Sachem Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sachem Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sachem Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sachem Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Sachem Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sachem Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sachem Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sachem Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.3 M

Sachem Capital Technical Analysis

Sachem Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sachem Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sachem Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sachem Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sachem Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Sachem Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sachem Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sachem Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sachem Capital Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sachem Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sachem Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sachem Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Sachem Preferred Stock

Sachem Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sachem Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sachem with respect to the benefits of owning Sachem Capital security.